$\phi^2$ Inflation at its Endpoint
Paolo Creminelli, Diana L\'opez Nacir, Marko Simonovi\'c, Gabriele, Trevisan, Matias Zaldarriaga

TL;DR
This paper provides precise predictions for the spectral index and tensor-to-scalar ratio in the simplest quadratic inflation model, assuming standard thermal history and instantaneous reheating, with results largely independent of reheating details.
Contribution
It offers the most accurate predictions for $n_s$ and $r$ in quadratic inflation, including generalizations to other power-law potentials, under standard assumptions.
Findings
Predicted $n_s=0.9668 ext{±}0.0003$ and $r=0.131 ext{±}0.001$ for quadratic inflation.
Results are robust against variations in reheating details, assuming rapid conversion to radiation.
Provides predictions for a range of power-law potentials $V \,\propto \,\phi^p$.
Abstract
In the simplest inflationary model , we provide a prediction accurate up to for the spectral index and the tensor-to-scalar ratio assuming instantaneous reheating and a standard thermal history: and . This represents the simplest and most informative point in the plane. The result is independent of the details of reheating (or preheating) provided the conversion to radiation is sufficiently fast. A slower reheating or a modified post-inflationary evolution push towards smaller (and larger ), so that our prediction corresponds to the maximum (and minimum ) for the quadratic potential. We also derive similar results for a general potential.
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