Cosmic Variance of the Spectral Index from Mode Coupling
Joseph Bramante, Jason Kumar, Elliot Nelson, Sarah Shandera

TL;DR
This paper shows that local non-Gaussianity and mode coupling can cause significant cosmic variance in the observed spectral index and bispectrum, affecting inflationary model constraints.
Contribution
It introduces the concept that mode coupling and non-Gaussianity induce cosmic variance in spectral index and bispectrum measurements, impacting inflationary theory constraints.
Findings
Local non-Gaussianity causes scale-dependent cosmic variance.
Mode coupling affects observed tensor modes and spectral indices.
Future observations can constrain this cosmic variance effect.
Abstract
We demonstrate that local, scale-dependent non-Gaussianity can generate cosmic variance uncertainty in the observed spectral index of primordial curvature perturbations. In a universe much larger than our current Hubble volume, locally unobservable long wavelength modes can induce a scale-dependence in the power spectrum of typical subvolumes, so that the observed spectral index varies at a cosmologically significant level (|\Delta ns | ~ O(0.04)). Similarly, we show that the observed bispectrum can have an induced scale dependence that varies about the global shape. If tensor modes are coupled to long wavelength modes of a second field, the locally observed tensor power and spectral index can also vary. All of these effects, which can be introduced in models where the observed non-Gaussianity is consistent with bounds from the Planck satellite, loosen the constraints that observations…
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