Political Stability and Military Intervention in Egypt

TL;DR

This paper examines how political stability and military involvement influence Egypt's risk of civil conflict and democratic development, emphasizing economic and power-sharing strategies.

Contribution

It highlights the importance of military role and economic policies in shaping Egypt's political trajectory post-protests.

Findings

Military involvement affects civil war risk.

Economic reforms can reduce unrest.

Power-sharing is crucial for democracy.

Abstract

Policy choices in the wake of recent mass protests in Egypt will determine the likelihood of civil war in the short run and the prospects for democracy in the long run. Economic conditions can be improved by international action to reduce grain-based biofuel production and finance employment generation. Creating the conditions for stable democracy requires accepting power-sharing mechanisms in which the military will have an important role.