On the multifractal effects generated by monofractal signals
Dariusz Grech, Grzegorz Pamu{\l}a

TL;DR
This paper investigates how finite data length and long-term memory can produce false multifractal signals in time series analysis, providing formulas to distinguish genuine multifractality from artifacts.
Contribution
It offers a quantitative framework to identify and separate true multifractal effects from apparent ones caused by data limitations and memory effects.
Findings
False multifractal signals depend linearly on autocorrelation exponent.
The strength of apparent multifractality decays as a power law with series length.
Formulas enable differentiation between real and artificial multifractal properties.
Abstract
We study quantitatively the level of false multifractal signal one may encounter while analyzing multifractal phenomena in time series within multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis (MF-DFA). The investigated effect appears as a result of finite length of used data series and is additionally amplified by the long-term memory the data eventually may contain. We provide the detailed quantitative description of such apparent multifractal background signal as a threshold in spread of generalized Hurst exponent values or a threshold in the width of multifractal spectrum below which multifractal properties of the system are only apparent, i.e. do not exist, despite or . We find this effect quite important for shorter or persistent series and we argue it is linear with respect to autocorrelation exponent . Its strength…
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Taxonomy
TopicsComplex Systems and Time Series Analysis · Stock Market Forecasting Methods
