Changes in quasi-periodic variations of solar photospheric fields: precursor to the deep solar minimum in the cycle 23?

TL;DR

This study analyzes changes in solar photospheric fields using wavelet and Fourier methods, revealing hemispheric asymmetries and declining magnetic activity that preceded the deep solar minimum between cycles 23 and 24, indicating potential shifts in the solar dynamo.

Contribution

It provides new insights into the hemispheric asymmetries and magnetic field variations associated with the deep solar minimum, highlighting changes in the solar dynamo processes.

Findings

Hemispheric asymmetry in periodicities above ±45° latitude.

Decreasing magnetic activity since the early 1990s.

Implications for the solar dynamo and future solar activity trends.

Abstract

Using both wavelet and Fourier analysis, a study has been undertaken of the changes in the quasi-periodic variations in solar photospheric fields in the build-up to one of the deepest solar minima experienced in the past 100 years. This unusual and deep solar minimum occurred between solar cycles 23 and 24. The study, carried out using ground based synoptic magnetograms spanning the period 1975.14 to 2009.86, covered solar cycles 21, 22 and 23. A hemispheric asymmetry in periodicities of the photospheric fields was seen only at latitudes above $\pm45{^{\circ}}$ when the data was divided, based on a wavelet analysis, into two parts: one prior to 1996 and the other after 1996. Furthermore, the hemispheric asymmetry was observed to be confined to the latitude range 45${^{\circ}}$ to 60${^{\circ}}$. This can be attributed to the variations in polar surges that primarily depend on both the emergence of surface magnetic flux and varying solar surface flows. The observed asymmetry when coupled with the fact that both solar fields above $\pm45{^{\circ}}$ and micro-turbulence levels in the inner-heliosphere have been decreasing since the early to mid nineties (Janardhan et al., 2011) suggests that around this time active changes occurred in the solar dynamo that governs the underlying basic processes in the sun. These changes in turn probably initiated the build-up to the very deep solar minimum at the end of the cycle 23. The decline in fields above $\pm45{^{\circ}}$ for well over a solar cycle, would imply that weak polar fields have been generated in the past two successive solar cycles \textit{viz.} cycles 22 and 23. A continuation of this declining trend beyond 22 years, if it occurs, will have serious implications on our current understanding of the solar dynamo.