Weighted statistical parameters for irregularly sampled time series

TL;DR

This paper introduces a simple weighting scheme to improve statistical parameter estimation in irregularly sampled astronomical time series, enhancing classification accuracy with minimal computational effort.

Contribution

It proposes a novel, computationally efficient weighting method that adapts to sampling density and noise, significantly improving estimator accuracy in irregular time series.

Findings

Significant improvements in estimator accuracy and precision.

Enhanced classification accuracy of variable stars by about 6%.

Effective application to large astronomical datasets.

Abstract

Unevenly spaced time series are common in astronomy because of the day-night cycle, weather conditions, dependence on the source position in the sky, allocated telescope time, corrupt measurements, for example, or be inherent to the scanning law of satellites like Hipparcos and the forthcoming Gaia. Irregular sampling often causes clumps of measurements and gaps with no data which can severely disrupt the values of estimators. This paper aims at improving the accuracy of common statistical parameters when linear interpolation (in time or phase) can be considered an acceptable approximation of a deterministic signal. A pragmatic solution is formulated in terms of a simple weighting scheme, adapting to the sampling density and noise level, applicable to large data volumes at minimal computational cost. Tests on time series from the Hipparcos periodic catalogue led to significant improvements in the overall accuracy and precision of the estimators with respect to the unweighted counterparts and those weighted by inverse-squared uncertainties. Automated classification procedures employing statistical parameters weighted by the suggested scheme confirmed the benefits of the improved input attributes. The classification of eclipsing binaries, Mira, RR Lyrae, Delta Cephei and Alpha2 Canum Venaticorum stars employing exclusively weighted descriptive statistics achieved an overall accuracy of 92 per cent, about 6 per cent higher than with unweighted estimators.