How important tasks are performed: peer review

TL;DR

This paper investigates how the peer review process is influenced by human decision-making patterns, revealing that review times depend on the final verdict and are affected by a combination of predictability and randomness.

Contribution

It introduces a model linking peer review timing to a competition-like process, highlighting the interplay of predictability and stochastic factors in human task completion.

Findings

Review time depends on the final verdict.

Review process exhibits a combination of predictability and randomness.

Model captures the influence of external 'friction' on decision timing.

Abstract

The advancement of various fields of science depends on the actions of individual scientists via the peer review process. The referees' work patterns and stochastic nature of decision making both relate to the particular features of refereeing and to the universal aspects of human behavior. Here, we show that the time a referee takes to write a report on a scientific manuscript depends on the final verdict. The data is compared to a model, where the review takes place in an ongoing competition of completing an important composite task with a large number of concurrent ones - a Deadline -effect. In peer review human decision making and task completion combine both long-range predictability and stochastic variation due to a large degree of ever-changing external "friction".