Low paleopressure of the Martian atmosphere estimated from the size distribution of ancient craters

TL;DR

This study estimates ancient Martian atmospheric pressure using crater size distribution, suggesting Mars had a low-pressure atmosphere during the time of river activity, which impacts climate and habitability models.

Contribution

It provides the first direct constraints on Mars's ancient atmospheric pressure based on crater size analysis, challenging previous assumptions of a thick early atmosphere.

Findings

Estimated upper limit of 0.9±0.1 bar for ancient Martian atmosphere.

Excluding erosionally-resistant crater fills raises the upper limit to 1.9±0.2 bar.

Results imply Mars's early atmosphere was too thin to support a warm, wet greenhouse environment.

Abstract

The decay of the martian atmosphere - which is dominated by carbon dioxide - is a component of the long-term environmental change on Mars from a climate that once allowed rivers to flow to the cold and dry conditions of today. The minimum size of craters serves as a proxy for palaeopressure of planetary atmospheres, because thinner atmospheres permit smaller objects to reach the surface at high velocities and form craters. The Aeolis Dorsa region near Gale crater on Mars contains a high density of preserved ancient craters interbedded with river deposits and thus can provide constraints on atmospheric density around the time of fluvial activity. Here we use high-resolution orthophotos and digital terrain models from the Mars Reconnaissance Orbiter to identify ancient craters in Aeolis Dorsa that date to about 3.6 Gyr ago and compare their size distribution with models of atmospheric filtering of impactors. We obtain an upper limit of 0.9$\pm$0.1 bar, rising to 1.9$\pm$0.2 bar if rimmed circular mesas - interpreted to be erosionally-resistant fills of floors of impact craters - are excluded. We assume target properties appropriate for desert alluvium: if sediment had rock-like rock-mass strength similar to bedrock at the time of impact, the upper limit increases by a factor of up to two. If Mars did not have a stable multibar atmosphere at the time that the rivers were flowing - as suggested by our results - then the warm and wet CO2/H2O greenhouse is ruled out, and long-term average temperatures were most likely below freezing.