Using T-Norm Based Uncertainty Calculi in a Naval Situation Assessment Application

TL;DR

This paper presents RUM, a software tool utilizing T-norm based uncertainty calculi within a layered architecture to improve situation assessment in naval and aerial contexts, validated through simulated experiments.

Contribution

Introduction of RUM, an integrated system employing multiple T-norm based calculi for uncertainty reasoning in complex situation assessment tasks.

Findings

RUM effectively supports naval and aerial situation assessment.

The system successfully manages conflicting and uncertain information.

Experimental validation demonstrates improved decision-making accuracy.

Abstract

RUM (Reasoning with Uncertainty Module), is an integrated software tool based on a KEE, a frame system implemented in an object oriented language. RUM's architecture is composed of three layers: representation, inference, and control. The representation layer is based on frame-like data structures that capture the uncertainty information used in the inference layer and the uncertainty meta-information used in the control layer. The inference layer provides a selection of five T-norm based uncertainty calculi with which to perform the intersection, detachment, union, and pooling of information. The control layer uses the meta-information to select the appropriate calculus for each context and to resolve eventual ignorance or conflict in the information. This layer also provides a context mechanism that allows the system to focus on the relevant portion of the knowledge base, and an uncertain-belief revision system that incrementally updates the certainty values of well-formed formulae (wffs) in an acyclic directed deduction graph. RUM has been tested and validated in a sequence of experiments in both naval and aerial situation assessment (SA), consisting of correlating reports and tracks, locating and classifying platforms, and identifying intents and threats. An example of naval situation assessment is illustrated. The testbed environment for developing these experiments has been provided by LOTTA, a symbolic simulator implemented in Flavors. This simulator maintains time-varying situations in a multi-player antagonistic game where players must make decisions in light of uncertain and incomplete data. RUM has been used to assist one of the LOTTA players to perform the SA task.