Connectivity patterns in loop percolation I: the rationality phenomenon and constant term identities
Dan Romik

TL;DR
This paper investigates the rationality properties of connectivity patterns in loop percolation on the square lattice, providing explicit formulas and linking the phenomenon to conjectural constant term identities and algebraic techniques.
Contribution
It proves the rationality phenomenon in specific cases and formulates a general conjecture connecting it to constant term identities and quantum algebra methods.
Findings
Probabilities are dyadic rational numbers or rational functions of size n.
Explicit formulas for probabilities in cylindrical geometry are derived.
The rationality problem is linked to conjectural constant term identities.
Abstract
Loop percolation, also known as the dense O(1) loop model, is a variant of critical bond percolation in the square lattice Z^2 whose graph structure consists of a disjoint union of cycles. We study its connectivity pattern, which is a random noncrossing matching associated with a loop percolation configuration. These connectivity patterns exhibit a striking rationality property whereby probabilities of naturally-occurring events are dyadic rational numbers or rational functions of a size parameter n, but the reasons for this are not completely understood. We prove the rationality phenomenon in a few cases and prove an explicit formula expressing the probabilities in the "cylindrical geometry" as coefficients in certain multivariate polynomials. This reduces the rationality problem in the general case to that of proving a family of conjectural constant term identities generalizing an…
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