A second-order stock market model
Robert Fernholz, Tomoyuki Ichiba, Ioannis Karatzas

TL;DR
This paper introduces a second-order stock market model that considers both stock rank and identity for return and variance parameters, providing a more detailed framework for analyzing stock behavior.
Contribution
It develops methods for estimating parameters of the second-order model, enhancing the modeling of individual stock dynamics beyond rank-based approaches.
Findings
Second-order models incorporate stock identity for better accuracy.
Estimation methods for second-order model parameters are proposed.
Models demonstrate stability properties suitable for stock analysis.
Abstract
A first-order model for a stock market assigns to each stock a return parameter and a variance parameter that depend only on the rank of the stock. A second-order model assigns these parameters based on both the rank and the name of the stock. First- and second-order models exhibit stability properties that make them appropriate as a backdrop for the analysis of the idiosyncratic behavior of individual stocks. Methods for the estimation of the parameters of second-order models are developed in this paper.
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Taxonomy
TopicsComplex Systems and Time Series Analysis · Stochastic processes and financial applications · Financial Risk and Volatility Modeling
