Open Access, library and publisher competition, and the evolution of general commerce
Andrew Odlyzko

TL;DR
This paper examines how publisher 'Big Deal' packages in scholarly communication are expanding access while marginalizing libraries, potentially leading to publisher oligopolies and affecting the future of the economy.
Contribution
It highlights the significant impact of 'Big Deal' licensing on library roles, publisher profits, and the spread of Open Access, offering insights into economic and institutional transformations.
Findings
'Big Deals' expand access but marginalize libraries.
They sustain publisher profits and price escalation.
Potential move towards publisher oligopoly and economic implications.
Abstract
Discussions of the economics of scholarly communication are usually devoted to Open Access, rising journal prices, publisher profits, and boycotts. That ignores what seems a much more important development in this market. Publishers, through the oft-reviled "Big Deal" packages, are providing much greater and more egalitarian access to the journal literature, an approximation to true Open Access. In the process they are also marginalizing libraries, and obtaining a greater share of the resources going into scholarly communication. This is enabling a continuation of publisher profits as well as of what for decades has been called "unsustainable journal price escalation". It is also inhibiting the spread of Open Access, and potentially leading to an oligopoly of publishers controlling distribution through large-scale licensing. The "Big Deal" practices are worth studying for several…
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