Automated Variational Inference in Probabilistic Programming
David Wingate, Theophane Weber

TL;DR
This paper introduces an efficient, restriction-free variational inference algorithm for probabilistic programming that automatically derives and optimizes mean-field programs, improving inference efficiency for complex, intractable distributions.
Contribution
It presents a novel stochastic gradient-based variational inference method applicable to general probabilistic programs, with automatic derivation and optimization of mean-field models.
Findings
Improved inference efficiency over existing algorithms
Applicable to highly structured, intractable distributions
Automatic derivation of mean-field probabilistic programs
Abstract
We present a new algorithm for approximate inference in probabilistic programs, based on a stochastic gradient for variational programs. This method is efficient without restrictions on the probabilistic program; it is particularly practical for distributions which are not analytically tractable, including highly structured distributions that arise in probabilistic programs. We show how to automatically derive mean-field probabilistic programs and optimize them, and demonstrate that our perspective improves inference efficiency over other algorithms.
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Taxonomy
TopicsBayesian Modeling and Causal Inference · Machine Learning and Algorithms · Water resources management and optimization
