Feasibility of a Small, Rapid Optical-to-IR Response, Next Generation Gamma Ray Burst Mission
B. Grossan (1,2), G.F. Smoot (1,4), V.V. Bogomolov (1), S. I., Svertilov (1), N. N. Vedenkin (1), M. Panasyuk (1), B. Goncharov (3), G., Rozhkov (3), K. Saleev (3), E. Grobovskoj (1), A.S. Krasnov (1), V. S., Morozenko (10), V. I. Osedlo (1), E. Rogkov (1), T. V. Vachenko (1)

TL;DR
This paper evaluates the feasibility of a small, fast-response gamma-ray burst observatory capable of rapid optical/IR detection, showing it can detect a significant number of GRBs annually with modest-sized instruments.
Contribution
It demonstrates the potential for a compact, rapid-response GRB observatory with realistic detection rates based on existing data and new capabilities.
Findings
Detects approximately 27 GRBs per year with a scaled-down Swift-like orbit.
Optical detection of about 23% of X-ray localized GRBs with a 10 cm instrument.
Rapid optical/IR response (~1 s) enhances scientific opportunities.
Abstract
We present motivations for and study feasibility of a small, rapid optical to IR response gamma ray burst (GRB) space observatory. By analyzing existing GRB data, we give realistic detection rates for X-ray and optical/IR instruments of modest size under actual flight conditions. Given new capabilities of fast optical/IR response (about 1 s to target) and simultaneous multi-band imaging, such an observatory can have a reasonable event rate, likely leading to new science. Requiring a Swift-like orbit, duty cycle, and observing constraints, a Swift-BAT scaled down to 190 square cm of detector area would still detect and locate about 27 GRB per yr. for a trigger threshold of 6.5 sigma. About 23 percent of X-ray located GRB would be detected optically for a 10 cm diameter instrument (about 6 per yr. for the 6.5 sigma X-ray trigger).
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