The Inverse Shapley Value Problem

TL;DR

This paper introduces the first efficient algorithm with provable guarantees for designing weighted voting schemes that approximate a desired vector of Shapley-Shubik indices, addressing a longstanding problem in social choice theory.

Contribution

It provides the first provably correct, efficient algorithm for the inverse Shapley value problem, capable of approximating desired influence distributions in weighted voting schemes.

Findings

Algorithm runs in fixed poly(n) time for any small error 5.

Achieves 5-error in Shapley values for reasonable voting schemes.

Exact polynomial-time solution for schemes with integer weights at most poly(n).

Abstract

For $f$ a weighted voting scheme used by $n$ voters to choose between two candidates, the $n$ \emph{Shapley-Shubik Indices} (or {\em Shapley values}) of $f$ provide a measure of how much control each voter can exert over the overall outcome of the vote. Shapley-Shubik indices were introduced by Lloyd Shapley and Martin Shubik in 1954 \cite{SS54} and are widely studied in social choice theory as a measure of the "influence" of voters. The \emph{Inverse Shapley Value Problem} is the problem of designing a weighted voting scheme which (approximately) achieves a desired input vector of values for the Shapley-Shubik indices. Despite much interest in this problem no provably correct and efficient algorithm was known prior to our work. We give the first efficient algorithm with provable performance guarantees for the Inverse Shapley Value Problem. For any constant $\eps > 0$ our algorithm runs in fixed poly$(n)$ time (the degree of the polynomial is independent of $\eps$) and has the following performance guarantee: given as input a vector of desired Shapley values, if any "reasonable" weighted voting scheme (roughly, one in which the threshold is not too skewed) approximately matches the desired vector of values to within some small error, then our algorithm explicitly outputs a weighted voting scheme that achieves this vector of Shapley values to within error $\eps.$ If there is a "reasonable" voting scheme in which all voting weights are integers at most $\poly(n)$ that approximately achieves the desired Shapley values, then our algorithm runs in time $\poly(n)$ and outputs a weighted voting scheme that achieves the target vector of Shapley values to within error $\eps=n^{-1/8}.$