An allometry-based approach for understanding forest structure, predicting tree-size distribution and assessing the degree of disturbance
Tommaso Anfodillo, Marco Carrer, Filippo Simini, Ionel Popa, Jayanth, R. Banavar, Amos Maritan

TL;DR
This paper introduces an allometry-based model that unifies different tree-size distribution patterns and effectively predicts forest structure and disturbance levels using simple principles of plant energy optimization.
Contribution
It presents a novel, unified scaling model that explains variations in tree-size distributions across different forest disturbance regimes.
Findings
Model accurately predicts size distribution slopes in forests.
Distribution range correlates with disturbance degree.
Semi-natural forests show wider size distribution ranges.
Abstract
Tree-size distribution is one of the most investigated subjects in plant population biology. The forestry literature reports that tree-size distribution trajectories vary across different stands and/or species, while the metabolic scaling theory suggests that the tree number scales universally as -2 power of diameter. Here, we propose a simple functional scaling model in which these two opposing results are reconciled. Basic principles related to crown shape, energy optimization and the finite size scaling approach were used to define a set of relationships based on a single parameter, which allows us to predict the slope of the tree-size distributions in a steady state condition. We tested the model predictions on four temperate mountain forests. Plots (4 ha each, fully mapped) were selected with different degrees of human disturbance (semi-natural stands vs. formerly managed). Results…
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