Early 21st century snow cover state over the western river basins of the Indus River system

TL;DR

This study assesses snow cover dynamics over the western Indus River basins from 2001 to 2012 using satellite data, revealing seasonal and regional variations linked to climate trends and implications for water resources.

Contribution

It introduces an improved cloud removal technique for MODIS snow products and provides a comprehensive analysis of snow cover changes across multiple basins and seasons.

Findings

Decreasing snow cover in westerly-influenced basins.

Increasing snow cover in monsoon-influenced basins.

Seasonal shifts in snow cover consistent with climate warming and cooling trends.

Abstract

In this paper we assess the snow cover and its dynamics for the western river basins of the Indus River system and their subbasins located in Afghanistan, China, India and Pakistan for the period 2001-2012. First, we validate the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) daily snow products from Terra and Aqua against the Landsat Thematic Mapper/Enhanced Thematic Mapper plus data set, and then improve them for clouds by applying a validated non spectral cloud removal technique. The improved snow product has been analysed on a seasonal and annual basis against different topographic parameters (aspect, elevation and slope). Our results show a decreasing tendency for the annual average snow cover for the westerlies influenced basins (upper Indus basin, Astore, Hunza, Shigar and Shyok) and an increasing tendency for the monsoon influenced basins (Jhelum, Kabul, Swat and Gilgit). Seasonal average snow cover decreases during winter and autumn, and increases during spring and summer, which is consistent with the observed cooling and warming trends during the respective seasons. Subbasins at relatively higher latitudes/altitudes show higher variability than basins at lower latitudes/middle altitudes. Northeastern and northwestern aspects feature greater snow cover. The mean end of summer regional snow line altitude (SLA) zones range from 3000 to 5000 m asl for all basins. Our analysis provides an indication of a descending end of summer regional SLA zone for most of the studied basins, which is significant for the Shyok and Kabul basins, thus indicating a change in their water resources. Such results are consistent with the observed hydroclimatic data, recently collected local perceptions and glacier mass balances for the investigated period within the UIB. Moreover, our analysis shows a significant correlation