Risk Mathematics and Quantum Games on Quantum Risk Structures - A Nuclear War Scenario Game

TL;DR

This paper integrates quantum game theory with risk mathematics to model and analyze the evolution of nuclear tensions, providing a novel framework for assessing nuclear conflict risks through evolutionary scenario analysis.

Contribution

It introduces a new approach combining quantum game theory and risk mathematics for dynamic nuclear conflict modeling and threat assessment.

Findings

Model demonstrates potential for nuclear conflict escalation.

Evolutionary scenario analysis aids in risk assessment.

Quantum game theory enhances understanding of systemic tensions.

Abstract

Quantum game theory is combined with risk mathematics' formalism to provide an approach to evolutionary scenario analysis. The formalism is addressed in its general form and is then applied to an extreme risks modelling case, to model a coevolving dynamical web of systemic situations representing the evolution of the regional tensions between two countries with nuclear weapons. The model's results are addressed regarding the potential for regional nuclear conflict to take place, and how evolutionary scenario analysis may contribute to nuclear war threat assessment and dynamical risk analysis. A final discussion is provided in what regards risk mathematics based on the evolutionary approach to risk assessement resulting from the combination of quantum game theory, morphic web representations and scenario analysis.