Are Decaying Magnetic Fields Above Active Regions Related to Coronal Mass Ejection Onset?
J. Suzuki, B. T. Welsch, Y. Li

TL;DR
This study investigates whether changes in decaying magnetic fields above active regions are related to CME onset, finding no consistent correlation and suggesting that large-scale magnetic environment evolution may not be a primary factor in CME initiation.
Contribution
The paper provides an empirical analysis showing that overlying magnetic field strength and flux do not systematically decrease before CMEs, challenging previous assumptions about magnetic confinement's role in eruptions.
Findings
Overlying magnetic field strengths tend to increase slightly before CMEs.
No significant change in the decay rate of magnetic fields with height was observed.
CME occurrence is not strongly correlated with large-scale magnetic field decay or weakening.
Abstract
Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are powered by magnetic energy stored in electric currents in coronal magnetic fields, with the pre-CME field in balance between outward magnetic pressure of the proto-ejecta and inward magnetic tension from confining overlying fields. In studies of global, current-free coronal magnetic field models --- Potential-Field Source-Surface (PFSS) models --- it has been reported that model field strengths above flare sites tend to be weaker in when CMEs occur than when eruptions fail to occur. This suggests that potential field models might usefully quantify magnetic confinement. An implication of this idea is that a decrease in model field strength overlying a possible eruption site should correspond to diminished confinement, implying an eruption is more likely. We have searched for such an effect by {\em post facto} investigation of the time evolution of model…
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