Improved Estimates of Survival Probabilities via Isospectral Transformations
Leonid Bunimovich, Benjamin Webb

TL;DR
This paper introduces a novel method using isospectral graph transformations to improve the estimation of survival probabilities in open dynamical systems derived from one-dimensional maps.
Contribution
It applies isospectral graph transformations to enhance survival probability estimates, outperforming traditional direct methods.
Findings
Improved accuracy of survival probability estimates
Demonstrated effectiveness on systems with finite Markov partitions
Showed superiority over existing direct estimation approaches
Abstract
We consider open systems generated from one-dimensional maps that admit a finite Markov partition and use the recently developed theory of isospectral graph transformations to estimate a system's survival probabilities. We show that these estimates are better than those obtained through a more direct approach.
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Taxonomy
TopicsBayesian Modeling and Causal Inference
