Uncertainty in Electroweak Symmetry Breaking in Models With High Scale Supersymmetry Breaking and its Impact on Interpretations of Searches For Supersymmetric Particles
B. C. Allanach, M. A. Parker

TL;DR
This paper examines how uncertainties in the top quark mass affect electroweak symmetry breaking predictions in high-scale supersymmetry models, impacting the interpretation of LHC searches for supersymmetric particles.
Contribution
It quantifies the uncertainties in EWSB boundary predictions due to top quark mass errors and higher order corrections in the CMSSM, and discusses numerical convergence issues.
Findings
EWSB boundary can vary by up to 2 TeV in m_0 due to top mass uncertainties.
Neutralino mass predictions can have uncertainties of about 100%.
Uncertainties significantly influence supersymmetry search interpretations.
Abstract
Some regions of parameter space of the minimal supersymmetric standard model (MSSM) with high scale supersymmetry breaking have extreme sensitivity of electroweak symmetry breaking (EWSB) to the top quark mass through renormalisation group evolution effects. This leads to uncertainties in the predictions which need to be taken into account in the interpretation of searches for supersymmetric particles in these regions. As an example, we provide estimates of the current uncertainties on the position in parameter space of the region which does not break electroweak symmetry in the constrained MSSM (CMSSM). The position of the boundary of EWSB can vary by up to 2 TeV in m_0 due to the uncertainties coming from the current measurement errors on the top quark mass and from higher order corrections. In this dangerous region, for fixed CMSSM parameters the neutralino lightest supersymmetric…
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