Evidence for Grain Growth in Molecular Clouds: A Bayesian Examination of the Extinction Law in Perseus
Jonathan B. Foster, Kaisey S. Mandel, Jaime E. Pineda, Kevin R. Covey,, H\'ector G. Arce, Alyssa A. Goodman

TL;DR
This study uses a Bayesian statistical model to analyze the extinction law in the Perseus Molecular Cloud, providing evidence that dust grains grow in size with increasing density, affecting the extinction properties.
Contribution
It introduces a hierarchical Bayesian approach with MCMC sampling to simultaneously infer stellar and dust properties, revealing a universal grain growth process in molecular clouds.
Findings
Extinction law parameter Rv increases from 3 to 5 with higher column density.
Strong correlation between extinction (Av) and Rv indicates grain growth.
Dust grain growth appears consistent across different regions of Perseus.
Abstract
We investigate the shape of the extinction law in two 1-degree square fields of the Perseus Molecular Cloud complex. We combine deep red-optical (r, i, and z-band) observations obtained using Megacam on the MMT with UKIDSS near-infrared (J, H, and K-band) data to measure the colours of background stars. We develop a new hierarchical Bayesian statistical model, including measurement error, intrinsic colour variation, spectral type, and dust reddening, to simultaneously infer parameters for individual stars and characteristics of the population. We implement an efficient MCMC algorithm utilising generalised Gibbs sampling to compute coherent probabilistic inferences. We find a strong correlation between the extinction (Av) and the slope of the extinction law (parameterized by Rv). Because the majority of the extinction toward our stars comes from the Perseus molecular cloud, we interpret…
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