The Effect of Exogenous Inputs and Defiant Agents on Opinion Dynamics with Local and Global Interactions

TL;DR

This paper models opinion dynamics on networks incorporating local and global influences, external biases, and stubborn agents, analyzing how these factors affect consensus formation and the ability to counteract external influence.

Contribution

It introduces a novel opinion dynamics model combining local, global, and external influences, including the effect of defiant agents, with analytical solutions for consensus probabilities and times.

Findings

External bias influences the average opinion state.

A threshold of stubborn nodes can neutralize external bias.

Mean field approximation effectively predicts system behavior.

Abstract

Most of the conventional models for opinion dynamics mainly account for a fully local influence, where myopic agents decide their actions after they interact with other agents that are adjacent to them. For example, in the case of social interactions, this includes family, friends, and other strong social ties. The model proposed in this contribution, embodies a global influence as well where, by global, we mean that each node also observes a sample of the average behavior of the entire population (in the social example, people observe other people on the streets, subway, and other social venues). We consider a case where nodes have dichotomous states (examples include elections with two major parties, whether or not to adopt a new technology or product, and any yes/no opinion such as in voting on a referendum). The dynamics of states on a network with arbitrary degree distribution are studied. For a given initial condition, we find the probability to reach consensus on each state and the expected time reach to consensus. The effect of an exogenous bias on the average orientation of the system is investigated, to model mass media. To do so, we add an external field to the model that favors one of the states over the other. This field interferes with the regular decision process of each node and creates a constant probability to lean towards one of the states. We solve for the average state of the system as a function of time for given initial conditions. Then anti-conformists (stubborn nodes who never revise their states) are added to the network, in an effort to circumvent the external bias. We find necessary conditions on the number of these defiant nodes required to cancel the effect of the external bias. Our analysis is based on a mean field approximation of the agent opinions.