Conjecture on imminent earthquake prediction --- from shaving foam to cloud patterns

TL;DR

This paper proposes a physics-based hypothesis that rapid vertical air movements caused by geological deformations before earthquakes produce distinctive cloud patterns, potentially enabling imminent earthquake prediction.

Contribution

It introduces a novel conjecture linking earthquake precursors to observable cloud patterns inspired by shaving foam observations, with an experimental test designed.

Findings

Hypothesized link between geological deformations and cloud patterns

Potential for cloud pattern recognition to predict earthquakes

Experimental design to test the conjecture

Abstract

A conjecture on imminent earthquake prediction is presented. Drastic geological deformations of crustal rock strata taking place immediately (hours/days) before an earthquake may cause fast air or gas emission/absorption vertically in between ground and sky. I conjecture, inspired by an observation of strange patterns appearing on shaving foam, that this fast movement of air fluid may produce unusual cloud patterns at interfaces between atmosphere levels. This air movement is vertical and drastic, different from the horizontal and moderate meteorological air movement, hence its caused cloud patterns are expected to be different from meteorological cloud patterns. This provides a possible origin for the so-called earthquake cloud. Recognition of different earthquake cloud patterns may provide a practical way to estimate location, magnitude and strength of geological deformations of rock strata, and hence a method with support of physics for imminent earthquake prediction. In the end of this paper an experiment has been designed to test the conjecture.