The Poincare map of randomly perturbed periodic motion
Pawel Hitczenko, Georgi S. Medvedev

TL;DR
This paper analyzes how small random noise affects the stability of periodic motions in differential systems, showing that the first exit times follow a geometric distribution, which helps explain oscillatory behavior in neuroscience models.
Contribution
It introduces a novel analysis of the Poincare map for randomly perturbed systems and links exit time distributions to stability and applications in neuroscience.
Findings
First exit times are well approximated by a geometric distribution.
The geometric distribution parameter approaches zero with decreasing noise.
Application to neuroscience models explains oscillatory patterns statistically.
Abstract
A system of autonomous differential equations with a stable limit cycle and perturbed by small white noise is analyzed in this work. In the vicinity of the limit cycle of the unperturbed deterministic system, we define, construct, and analyze the Poincare map of the randomly perturbed periodic motion. We show that the time of the first exit from a small neighborhood of the fixed point of the map, which corresponds to the unperturbed periodic orbit, is well approximated by the geometric distribution. The parameter of the geometric distribution tends zero together with the noise intensity. Therefore, our result can be interpreted as an estimate of stability of periodic motion to random perturbations. In addition, we show that the geometric distribution of the first exit times translates into statistical properties of solutions of important differential equation models in applications.…
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