The impact of a new median statistics $H_0$ prior on the evidence for dark radiation

TL;DR

This paper examines how a new median statistics prior on the Hubble constant affects the evidence for dark radiation, showing that the significance decreases when using this prior compared to the HST prior.

Contribution

It introduces a median statistics analysis of H0 measurements to reassess the evidence for dark radiation in cosmology.

Findings

Evidence for dark radiation weakens to ~1.2 sigma with median statistics H0 prior.

Median statistics H0 estimate aligns with CMB-based H0 under ΛCDM.

Constraints on N_eff are slightly lower with median statistics prior.

Abstract

Recent analyses that include cosmic microwave background (CMB) anisotropy measurements from the Atacama Cosmology Telescope and the South Pole Telescope have hinted at the presence of a dark radiation component at more than two standard deviations. However, this result depends sensitively on the assumption of an HST prior on the Hubble constant, where $H_0=73.8\pm2.4$ km/s/Mpc at 68% c.l.. From a median statistics (MS) analysis of 537 non-CMB $H_0$ measurements from Huchra's compilation we derive $H_0=68 \pm2.8$ km/s/Mpc at 68% c.l., in good agreement with the results of a recent analysis of the full Huchra list of $H_0$ measurements. This result is also fully consistent with the value of $H_0=69.7\pm2.5$ km/s/Mpc at 68% c.l. obtained from CMB measurements under assumption of the standard $\Lambda$CDM model. We show that with the MS $H_0$ prior the evidence for dark radiation is weakened to $\sim 1.2$ standard deviations. Parametrizing the dark radiation component through the effective number of relativistic degrees of freedom $N_{eff}$, we find $N_{eff}=3.98\pm0.37$ at 68% c.l. with the HST prior and $N_{eff}=3.52\pm0.39$ at 68% c.l. with the MS prior. We also discuss the implications for current limits on neutrino masses and on primordial Helium abundances.