Predicting the Fate of Binary Red Giants Using the Observed Sequence E Star Population: Binary Planetary Nebula Nuclei and Post-RGB Stars
J.D. Nie, P.R. Wood, C.P. Nicholls

TL;DR
This study uses observed binary red giant populations in the LMC to simulate and predict the formation rates and characteristics of planetary nebulae, challenging the idea that binary interaction is essential for PN formation.
Contribution
It introduces a Monte Carlo simulation normalized by observed data to estimate binary evolution outcomes and PN production rates in the LMC.
Findings
7-9% of PNe have close binary central stars
23-27% of PNe have intermediate period binaries
Most PNe originate from single or non-interacting stars
Abstract
Sequence E variables are close binary red giants that show ellipsoidal light variations. They are likely the immediate precursors of planetary nebulae (PNe) with close binary central. We have made a Monte Carlo simulation to determine the fraction of red giant binaries that go through a common envelope (CE) event leading to the production of a close binary system or a merged star. The novel aspect of this simulation is that we use the observed frequency of sequence E binaries in the LMC to normalize our calculations. In our standard model, we find that in the LMC today the fraction of PNe with close binary central stars is 7-9%, the fraction of PNe with intermediate period binary central stars having separations capable of influencing the nebula shape (P<500 yrs) is 23-27%, the fraction of PNe containing wide binaries that are unable to influence the nebula shape (P>500 yrs) is 46-55%,…
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