Elections and statistics: the case of "United Russia", 2009-2020

TL;DR

This paper surveys Russian election statistics from 2009 to 2020, analyzing data inconsistencies and discussing implications for statistical model selection in the context of election fairness.

Contribution

It compiles and updates election data, highlighting inconsistencies with fair election assumptions and providing a resource for statistical analysis.

Findings

Most data are inconsistent with fair election assumptions

Updated dataset includes recent elections up to July 2020

Discusses implications for statistical model selection

Abstract

This survey contains statistics on elections in Russia published in different places and available online. This data is discussed from the viewpoint of statistical model selection. The current version is updated including the materials up to July, 2020 voting on constitutional changes, Belarus 2020 elections and papers that appeared in 2020; most of the data are not consistent with the assumption of fair elections.