Consistent Modeling of VIX and Equity Derivatives Using a 3/2 plus Jumps Model
Jan Baldeaux, Alexander Badran

TL;DR
This paper shows that a pure-diffusion 3/2 model can effectively capture VIX implied volatility skew, but adding jumps improves short-term index option smile modeling without sacrificing tractability.
Contribution
It demonstrates that a pure-diffusion 3/2 model suffices for VIX skew, and introducing jumps enhances short-term option smile modeling while maintaining tractability.
Findings
Pure-diffusion 3/2 model captures VIX skew.
Adding jumps improves short-term index option smile.
Model remains tractable for pricing derivatives.
Abstract
The paper demonstrates that a pure-diffusion 3/2 model is able to capture the observed upward-sloping implied volatility skew in VIX options. This observation contradicts a common perception in the literature that jumps are required for the consistent modelling of equity and VIX derivatives. The pure-diffusion model, however, struggles to reproduce the smile in the implied volatilities of short-term index options. One remedy to this problem is to augment the model by introducing jumps in the index. The resulting 3/2 plus jumps model turns out to be as tractable as its pure-diffusion counterpart when it comes to pricing equity, realized variance and VIX derivatives, but accurately captures the smile in implied volatilities of short-term index options.
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Taxonomy
TopicsStochastic processes and financial applications · Capital Investment and Risk Analysis
