The women day storm
Aleksei Parnowski, Anna Polonska, Oleg Semeniv

TL;DR
This paper evaluates the performance of various space weather forecast models during a geomagnetic storm caused by a solar event, highlighting common issues and presenting new forecast results.
Contribution
It provides a comparative analysis of major space weather forecast models and introduces new near-real-time forecast models for geomagnetic storms.
Findings
Identification of common problems in existing models
Performance comparison of forecast models during a geomagnetic storm
Presentation of new near-real-time forecast results
Abstract
On behalf of the International Women Day, the Sun gave a hot kiss to our mother Earth in a form of a full halo CME generated by the yesterday's double X-class flare. The resulting geomagnetic storm gives a good opportunity to compare the performance of space weather forecast models operating in near-real-time. We compare the forecasts of most major models and identify some common problems. We also present the results of our own near-real-time forecast models.
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Taxonomy
TopicsSolar and Space Plasma Dynamics · Geophysics and Gravity Measurements · Solar Radiation and Photovoltaics
