Physics of the Galactic Center Cloud G2, on its Way towards the Super-Massive Black Hole
Andreas Burkert, Mark Schartmann, Christian Alig, Stefan Gillessen,, Reinhard Genzel, Tobias Fritz, Frank Eisenhauer

TL;DR
The paper models the origin, structure, and evolution of the G2 gas cloud approaching the Galactic supermassive black hole, explaining its observed properties and predicting its eventual disruption and impact on black hole activity.
Contribution
It proposes a formation scenario for G2 as part of a larger shell-like structure, reconciling observations with simulations, and predicts its future disruption and influence on the SMBH.
Findings
G2 formed in pressure equilibrium with surrounding gas in 1995.
G2's structure is consistent with a shell-like formation at apocenter.
G2 will break into droplets and potentially trigger AGN activity within 30 years.
Abstract
The origin, structure and evolution of the small gas cloud, G2, is investigated, that is on an orbit almost straight into the Galactic central supermassive black hole (SMBH). G2 is a sensitive probe of the hot accretion zone of Sgr A*, requiring gas temperatures and densities that agree well with models of captured shock-heated stellar winds. Its mass is equal to the critical mass below which cold clumps would be destroyed quickly by evaporation. Its mass is also constrained by the fact that at apocenter its sound crossing timescale was equal to its orbital timescale. Our numerical simulations show that the observed structure and evolution of G2 can be well reproduced if it formed in pressure equilibrium with the surrounding in 1995 at a distance from the SMBH of 7.6e16 cm. If the cloud would have formed at apocenter in the 'clockwise' stellar disk as expected from its orbit, it would…
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