Life Expectancy at Birth, Estimates and Forecasts in the Netherlands (Females)

TL;DR

This paper analyzes and forecasts female life expectancy at birth in the Netherlands using a new methodology based on a recent theory, classical fitting, and forecasting models, utilizing data from 1850 to 2006.

Contribution

It introduces a novel application of the IM first exit time model with non-linear regression for mortality analysis and forecasting in the Netherlands.

Findings

Accurate historical life expectancy estimates from 1850 to 2006.

Effective forecasting of future life expectancy trends.

Integration of infant mortality into the model.

Abstract

In this paper we explore the life expectancy at birth in the Netherlands by based on a recent theory and a new methodology but also a classical theory of fitting and forecasting. We use the data from 1850 to 2006 provided by the Human Mortality Database (HMD) for the annual deaths per year of age and the structure of the population per year of age. We apply the IM first exit time model which includes also the infant mortality by using the appropriate non-linear regression analysis program that we have developed in Excel. We provide all the related material from the website: http://www.cmsim.net