Statistical regularities of self-intersection counts for geodesics on negatively curved surfaces
Steven P. Lalley

TL;DR
This paper investigates the statistical fluctuations of self-intersection counts for random geodesics on negatively curved surfaces, revealing different fluctuation scales and distributions depending on whether the curvature is constant or variable.
Contribution
It establishes the order of fluctuations and their limiting distributions for self-intersection counts on negatively curved surfaces, distinguishing between constant and variable curvature cases.
Findings
Fluctuations are of order L for constant curvature, converging to a nondegenerate distribution.
Fluctuations are of order L^{3/2} for variable curvature, converging to a Gaussian.
Results apply to both closed geodesics and generic geodesics with random initial conditions.
Abstract
Let be a compact, negatively curved surface. From the (finite) set of all closed geodesics on of length , choose one, say , at random and let be the number of its self-intersections. It is known that there is a positive constant depending on the metric such that in probability as . The main results of this paper concern the size of typical fluctuations of about . It is proved that if the metric has constant curvature -1 then typical fluctuations are of order , in particular, converges weakly to a nondegenerate probability distribution. In contrast, it is also proved that if the metric has variable negative curvature then fluctuations of are of order , in…
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