The size of the jet launching region in M87
Jason Dexter, Jonathan C. McKinney, Eric Agol

TL;DR
This paper models the innermost region of M87's black hole and jet using relativistic MHD simulations, predicting observable features like the black hole shadow and variability at millimeter wavelengths.
Contribution
It introduces time-dependent disc/jet models based on relativistic MHD simulations to interpret mm-VLBI observations of M87.
Findings
Predicted source size of 33-44 microarcseconds consistent with observations.
Black hole shadow should be detectable with future mm-VLBI baselines.
Models show millimeter wavelength variability with factors of ~2 over year timescales.
Abstract
The supermassive black hole candidate at the center of M87 drives an ultra-relativistic jet visible on kiloparsec scales, and its large mass and relative proximity allow for event horizon scale imaging with very long baseline interferometry at millimeter wavelengths (mm-VLBI). Recently, relativistic magneto-hydrodynamic (MHD) simulations of black hole accretion flows have proven capable of launching magnetically-dominated jets. We construct time-dependent disc/jet models of the innermost portion of the M87 nucleus by performing relativistic radiative transfer calculations from one such simulation. We identify two types of models, jet-dominated or disc/jet, that can explain the spectral properties of M87, and use them to make predictions for current and future mm-VLBI observations. The Gaussian source size for the favored sky orientation and inclination from observations of the…
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