Elliptic curves with a given number of points over finite fields
Chantal David, Ethan Smith

TL;DR
This paper investigates the distribution of primes for which elliptic curves have a specific number of points, providing improved average bounds and asymptotic formulas under certain hypotheses.
Contribution
It introduces new bounds on the average number of such primes and derives an asymptotic formula under conjectural assumptions.
Findings
Better average bounds than the Hasse bound
Asymptotic formula for prime counts under hypotheses
Conditional results based on prime distribution conjectures
Abstract
Given an elliptic curve and a positive integer , we consider the problem of counting the number of primes for which the reduction of modulo possesses exactly points over . On average (over a family of elliptic curves), we show bounds that are significantly better than what is trivially obtained by the Hasse bound. Under some additional hypotheses, including a conjecture concerning the short interval distribution of primes in arithmetic progressions, we obtain an asymptotic formula for the average.
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