Long-term optical variability of PKS 2155-304
Max A. Kastendieck, Michael C. B. Ashley, and Dieter Horns

TL;DR
This study analyzes the long-term optical variability of the blazar PKS 2155-304 over timescales from 20 days to over 10 years, using multiple methods to characterize its red noise behavior and power spectral density.
Contribution
It introduces a new method, the Multiple Fragments Variance Function (MFVF), for analyzing variability and compares it with existing techniques, providing more accurate PSD parameter estimates.
Findings
The PSD follows a broken power-law with a slope of about 1.8.
A break in the PSD occurs at a timescale of approximately 2.7 years.
The MFVF method yields the most reliable parameter estimates.
Abstract
Aims: The optical variability of the blazar PKS 2155-304 is investigated to characterise the red noise behaviour at largely different time scales from 20 days to O(>10 yrs). Methods: The long-term optical light curve of PKS 2155-304 is assembled from archival data as well as from so-far unpublished observations mostly carried out with the ROTSE-III and the ASAS robotic telescopes. A forward folding technique is used to determine the best-fit parameters for a model of a power law with a break in the power spectral density function (PSD). The best-fit parameters are estimated using a maximum-likelihood method with simulated light curves in conjunction with the Lomb Scargle Periodogram (LSP) and the first-order Structure Function (SF). In addition, a new approach based upon the so-called Multiple Fragments Variance Function (MFVF) is introduced and compared to the other methods. Simulated…
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