Automating Discovery and Classification of Transients and Variable Stars in the Synoptic Survey Era

TL;DR

This paper presents a machine-learning framework for automating the discovery and classification of transients and variable stars in large synoptic surveys, significantly improving efficiency and purity of detections.

Contribution

It introduces a self-calibrating, machine-learning-based system that automates transient discovery and classification, achieving high accuracy and enabling rapid scientific insights.

Findings

Achieved 96% classification efficiency with 90% purity.

Distinguished transients from variable stars with 3.8% error rate.

Enabled significant scientific discoveries within one year of operation.

Abstract

The rate of image acquisition in modern synoptic imaging surveys has already begun to outpace the feasibility of keeping astronomers in the real-time discovery and classification loop. Here we present the inner workings of a framework, based on machine-learning algorithms, that captures expert training and ground-truth knowledge about the variable and transient sky to automate 1) the process of discovery on image differences and, 2) the generation of preliminary science-type classifications of discovered sources. Since follow-up resources for extracting novel science from fast-changing transients are precious, self-calibrating classification probabilities must be couched in terms of efficiencies for discovery and purity of the samples generated. We estimate the purity and efficiency in identifying real sources with a two-epoch image-difference discovery algorithm for the Palomar Transient Factory (PTF) survey. Once given a source discovery, using machine-learned classification trained on PTF data, we distinguish between transients and variable stars with a 3.8% overall error rate (with 1.7% errors for imaging within the Sloan Digital Sky Survey footprint). At >96% classification efficiency, the samples achieve 90% purity. Initial classifications are shown to rely primarily on context-based features, determined from the data itself and external archival databases. In the ~one year since autonomous operations, this discovery and classification framework has led to several significant science results, from outbursting young stars to subluminous Type IIP supernovae to candidate tidal disruption events. We discuss future directions of this approach, including the possible roles of crowdsourcing and the scalability of machine learning to future surveys such a the Large Synoptical Survey Telescope (LSST).