The Embedding Capacity of Information Flows Under Renewal Traffic
Stefano Marano, Vincenzo Matta, Ting He, Lang Tong

TL;DR
This paper investigates the maximum rate at which information can be covertly embedded in renewal traffic streams without detection, providing analytical formulas and validating them on real network data.
Contribution
It derives a closed-form analytical relationship for embedding capacity in renewal processes, enabling practical evaluation and understanding of covert communication limits.
Findings
Closed-form expression for embedding capacity in renewal traffic
Validation on real network traces shows good accuracy under tight delay constraints
Identifies model inaccuracies as the cause of capacity prediction gaps for looser constraints
Abstract
Given two independent point processes and a certain rule for matching points between them, what is the fraction of matched points over infinitely long streams? In many application contexts, e.g., secure networking, a meaningful matching rule is that of a maximum causal delay, and the problem is related to embedding a flow of packets in cover traffic such that no traffic analysis can detect it. We study the best undetectable embedding policy and the corresponding maximum flow rate ---that we call the embedding capacity--- under the assumption that the cover traffic can be modeled as arbitrary renewal processes. We find that computing the embedding capacity requires the inversion of very structured linear systems that, for a broad range of renewal models encountered in practice, admits a fully analytical expression in terms of the renewal function of the processes. Our main theoretical…
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