Astrophysical Ionizing Radiation and the Earth: A Brief Review and Census of Intermittent Intense Sources

TL;DR

This review assesses various astrophysical radiation sources and their potential hazards to Earth's biosphere, estimating event rates and impacts, including the significant threat posed by short-hard gamma-ray bursts.

Contribution

It provides the first comprehensive estimate of the threat level from short-hard gamma-ray bursts and their comparison with other astrophysical hazards.

Findings

Short-hard gamma-ray bursts are a substantial threat, comparable to supernovae.

The probability of extinction-level events due to cosmic radiation is significant over geological timescales.

Moderate events are mainly caused by the Sun, while severe events are dominated by gamma-ray bursts and supernovae.

Abstract

Cosmic radiation backgrounds are a constraint on life, and their distribution will affect the Galactic Habitable Zone. Life on Earth has developed in the context of these backgrounds, and characterizing event rates will elaborate the important influences. This in turn can be a base for comparison with other potential life-bearing planets. In this review we estimate the intensities and rates of occurrence of many kinds of strong radiation bursts by astrophysical entities ranging from gamma-ray bursts at cosmological distances to the Sun itself. Many of these present potential hazards to the biosphere: on timescales long compared with human history, the probability of an event intense enough to disrupt life on the land surface or in the oceans becomes large. We enumerate the known sources of radiation and characterize their intensities at the Earth and rates or upper limits on these quantities. When possible, we estimate a "lethal interval", our best estimate of how often a major extinction-level event is probable given the current state of knowledge; we base these estimates on computed or expected depletion of stratospheric ozone. In general, moderate level events are dominated by the Sun, but the far more severe infrequent events are probably dominated by gamma-ray bursts and supernovae. We note for the first time that so-called "short-hard" gamma-ray bursts are a substantial threat, comparable in magnitude to supernovae and greater than that of the higher-luminosity long bursts considered in most past work. Given their precursors, short bursts may come with little or no warning.