Modeling Dynamic Swarms

TL;DR

This paper introduces a probabilistic model for capturing the local spatiotemporal properties of dynamic swarms in video sequences, enabling the analysis of complex collective behaviors in natural and artificial systems.

Contribution

It presents a novel approach that models both the spatial layout and joint dynamics of swarm elements using an MRF-based probabilistic framework and MAP optimization.

Findings

Successfully models real-world swarm videos

Captures local spatiotemporal interdependencies

Applicable to natural and robotic swarms

Abstract

This paper proposes the problem of modeling video sequences of dynamic swarms (DS). We define DS as a large layout of stochastically repetitive spatial configurations of dynamic objects (swarm elements) whose motions exhibit local spatiotemporal interdependency and stationarity, i.e., the motions are similar in any small spatiotemporal neighborhood. Examples of DS abound in nature, e.g., herds of animals and flocks of birds. To capture the local spatiotemporal properties of the DS, we present a probabilistic model that learns both the spatial layout of swarm elements and their joint dynamics that are modeled as linear transformations. To this end, a spatiotemporal neighborhood is associated with each swarm element, in which local stationarity is enforced both spatially and temporally. We assume that the prior on the swarm dynamics is distributed according to an MRF in both space and time. Embedding this model in a MAP framework, we iterate between learning the spatial layout of the swarm and its dynamics. We learn the swarm transformations using ICM, which iterates between estimating these transformations and updating their distribution in the spatiotemporal neighborhoods. We demonstrate the validity of our method by conducting experiments on real video sequences. Real sequences of birds, geese, robot swarms, and pedestrians evaluate the applicability of our model to real world data.