On Estimate of Real Accuracy of EOP Prediction

TL;DR

This paper evaluates the real-time accuracy of Earth Orientation Parameters (EOP) predictions by analyzing predictions from USNO and IAA, and discusses methods for a priori accuracy estimation.

Contribution

It introduces methods for estimating the real accuracy of EOP predictions and analyzes actual prediction data from USNO and IAA.

Findings

Real-time predictions vary in accuracy.

Methods for a priori accuracy estimation are discussed.

Analysis provides insights into prediction reliability.

Abstract

To estimate real accuracy of EOP prediction real-time predictions made by the IERS Subbureau for Rapid Service and Prediction (USNO) and at the Institute of Applied Astronomy (IAA) EOP Service are analyzed. Methods of a priory estimate of accuracy of prediction are discussed.