Characteristics of planetary candidates observed by Kepler, II: Analysis of the first four months of data

TL;DR

This paper analyzes Kepler data from the first four months, identifying and characterizing 1235 planetary candidates across various sizes, and estimates their intrinsic occurrence rates, highlighting the prevalence of smaller planets and multi-candidate systems.

Contribution

It provides the first detailed statistical analysis of Kepler planetary candidates, including size distributions, occurrence rates, and multi-planet system frequencies.

Findings

Most candidates are smaller than Neptune.

Peak occurrence at two to three Earth radii.

Multi-candidate systems are common, with 17% of stars hosting multiple planets.

Abstract

On 1 February 2011 the Kepler Mission released data for 156,453 stars observed from the beginning of the science observations on 2 May through 16 September 2009. There are 1235 planetary candidates with transit like signatures detected in this period. These are associated with 997 host stars. Distributions of the characteristics of the planetary candidates are separated into five class-sizes; 68 candidates of approximately Earth-size (radius < 1.25 Earth radii), 288 super-Earth size (1.25 Earth radii < radius < 2 Earth radii), 662 Neptune-size (2 Earth radii < radius < 6 Earth radii), 165 Jupiter-size (6 Earth radii < radius < 15 Earth radii), and 19 up to twice the size of Jupiter (15 Earth radii < radius < 22 Earth radii). In the temperature range appropriate for the habitable zone, 54 candidates are found with sizes ranging from Earth-size to larger than that of Jupiter. Five are less than twice the size of the Earth. Over 74% of the planetary candidates are smaller than Neptune. The observed number versus size distribution of planetary candidates increases to a peak at two to three times Earth-size and then declines inversely proportional to area of the candidate. Our current best estimates of the intrinsic frequencies of planetary candidates, after correcting for geometric and sensitivity biases, are 6% for Earth-size candidates, 7% for super-Earth size candidates, 17% for Neptune-size candidates, and 4% for Jupiter-size candidates. Multi-candidate, transiting systems are frequent; 17% of the host stars have multi-candidate systems, and 33.9% of all the candidates are part of multi-candidate systems.