Macroscopic time evolution and MaxEnt inference for closed systems with Hamiltonian dynamics
Domagoj Kuic, Pasko Zupanovic, Davor Juretic

TL;DR
This paper introduces two MaxEnt inference methods for predicting the time evolution of closed Hamiltonian systems, emphasizing the role of information loss and irreversibility in macroscopic dynamics.
Contribution
It develops two MaxEnt approaches based on microscopic and macroscopic constraints, linking information theory with Hamiltonian dynamics and irreversibility.
Findings
MaxEnt inference predicts system evolution under microscopic constraints.
Loss of correlation correlates with irreversibility in macroscopic systems.
Information entropy bounds the predictability of system evolution.
Abstract
MaxEnt inference algorithm and information theory are relevant for the time evolution of macroscopic systems considered as problem of incomplete information. Two different MaxEnt approaches are introduced in this work, both applied to prediction of time evolution for closed Hamiltonian systems. The first one is based on Liouville equation for the conditional probability distribution, introduced as a strict microscopic constraint on time evolution in phase space. The conditional probability distribution is defined for the set of microstates associated with the set of phase space paths determined by solutions of Hamilton's equations. The MaxEnt inference algorithm with Shannon's concept of the conditional information entropy is then applied to prediction, consistently with this strict microscopic constraint on time evolution in phase space. The second approach is based on the same…
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