The Local Emergence and Global Diffusion of Research Technologies: An Exploration of Patterns of Network Formation
Loet Leydesdorff, Ismael Rafols

TL;DR
This paper investigates how emerging research technologies like siRNA and NCSC spread geographically and cognitively, revealing network patterns and the transition from disciplinary to transfer-oriented research as key to diffusion rates.
Contribution
It introduces methods to analyze and visualize the diffusion of emerging technologies, highlighting network evolution and the shift in research modes as factors influencing diffusion.
Findings
Geographical networks show preferential attachment and small-world features.
Preferential attachment weakens over time, leading to oligopolistic control.
Transition from disciplinary to transfer-oriented research affects diffusion speed.
Abstract
Grasping the fruits of "emerging technologies" is an objective of many government priority programs in a knowledge-based and globalizing economy. We use the publication records (in the Science Citation Index) of two emerging technologies to study the mechanisms of diffusion in the case of two innovation trajectories: small interference RNA (siRNA) and nano-crystalline solar cells (NCSC). Methods for analyzing and visualizing geographical and cognitive diffusion are specified as indicators of different dynamics. Geographical diffusion is illustrated with overlays to Google Maps; cognitive diffusion is mapped using an overlay to a map based on the ISI Subject Categories. The evolving geographical networks show both preferential attachment and small-world characteristics. The strength of preferential attachment decreases over time, while the network evolves into an oligopolistic control…
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Taxonomy
TopicsInnovation and Knowledge Management · University-Industry-Government Innovation Models · Innovation Diffusion and Forecasting
