Origin and Dynamics of the Mutually Inclined Orbits of Upsilon Andromedae c and d
Rory Barnes, Richard Greenberg, Thomas R. Quinn, Barbara E. McArthur,, and G. Fritz Benedict

TL;DR
This paper investigates the origins of the mutually inclined orbits of Upsilon Andromedae c and d, suggesting planetary scattering as a plausible mechanism, and develops a method to compare observed systems with models.
Contribution
It introduces a new procedure for quantitatively comparing observed exoplanetary systems to numerical models, applied here to Upsilon Andromedae.
Findings
Scattering can produce the observed mutual inclination of ~30 degrees.
Nearby low-mass star Upsilon And B cannot directly induce the inclination.
Simulated systems with large mutual inclinations are generally less stable.
Abstract
We evaluate the orbital evolution and several plausible origins scenarios for the mutually inclined orbits of Upsilon Andromedae c and d. These two planets have orbital elements that oscillate with large amplitudes and lie close to the stability boundary. This configuration, and in particular the observed mutual inclination, demands an explanation. The planetary system may be influenced by a nearby low-mass star, Upsilon And B, which could perturb the planetary orbits, but we find it cannot modify two coplanar orbits into the observed mutual inclination of ~30 deg. However, it could incite ejections or collisions between planetary companions that subsequently raise the mutual inclination to >30 deg. Our simulated systems with large mutual inclinations tend to be further from the stability boundary than Upsilon And, but we are able to produce similar systems. We conclude that scattering…
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