Many Roads to Synchrony: Natural Time Scales and Their Algorithms
Ryan G. James, John R. Mahoney, Christopher J. Ellison, James, P. Crutchfield

TL;DR
This paper introduces methods to compute the Markov and cryptic orders of stochastic processes from epsilon-machines, revealing their significance in understanding process synchronization and their prevalence in finite-memory systems.
Contribution
It provides exact algorithms for calculating these orders from epsilon-machines and demonstrates their importance and ubiquity in finite-memory processes.
Findings
Markov and cryptic orders are key to understanding process synchronization.
These orders are most efficiently computed from epsilon-machines.
Infinite orders are common in finite-memory processes.
Abstract
We consider two important time scales---the Markov and cryptic orders---that monitor how an observer synchronizes to a finitary stochastic process. We show how to compute these orders exactly and that they are most efficiently calculated from the epsilon-machine, a process's minimal unifilar model. Surprisingly, though the Markov order is a basic concept from stochastic process theory, it is not a probabilistic property of a process. Rather, it is a topological property and, moreover, it is not computable from any finite-state model other than the epsilon-machine. Via an exhaustive survey, we close by demonstrating that infinite Markov and infinite cryptic orders are a dominant feature in the space of finite-memory processes. We draw out the roles played in statistical mechanical spin systems by these two complementary length scales.
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