A damage-mechanics model for fracture nucleation and propagation
G. Yakovlev, J.D. Gran, D.L. Turcotte, J.B. Rundle, W. Klein

TL;DR
This paper introduces a composite damage-mechanics model combining fiber-bundle and slider-block concepts to simulate earthquake rupture initiation and propagation, emphasizing stress redistribution and failure timing.
Contribution
It presents a novel integrated model for earthquake rupture that incorporates damage mechanics, probabilistic failure timing, and stress redistribution among elements.
Findings
Time to failure depends on hazard-rate exponent
Rupture propagation modes vary with interaction range
Damage fraction correlates with stress levels
Abstract
In this paper a composite model for earthquake rupture initiation and propagation is proposed. The model includes aspects of damage mechanics, fiber-bundle models, and slider-block models. An array of elements is introduced in analogy to the fibers of a fiber bundle. Time to failure for each element is specified from a Poisson distribution. The hazard rate is assumed to have a power-law dependence on stress. When an element fails it is removed, the stress on a failed element is redistributed uniformly to a specified number of neighboring elements in a given range of interaction. Damage is defined to be the fraction of elements that have failed. Time to failure and modes of rupture propagation are determined as a function of the hazard-rate exponent and the range of interaction.
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