Supermassive black hole spin-flip during the inspiral
L\'aszl\'o \'A. Gergely, Peter L. Biermann, Lauren\c{t}iu I. Caramete

TL;DR
This paper investigates how supermassive black hole spins can flip during inspiral due to spin-orbit interactions, explaining observed X-shaped radio galaxies and providing new formulas for final spin states.
Contribution
It introduces a statistical analysis of supermassive black hole mergers, revealing conditions under which spin-flips occur and deriving formulas for final spins during inspiral.
Findings
Spin-flip occurs in 40% of mergers with mass ratios (1/30,1/3).
No spin-flip in 40% of mergers with mass ratios (1/30,1/1000).
Spin-flip may occur during plunge in 20% of mergers with mass ratios (1/3,1).
Abstract
During post-Newtonian evolution of a compact binary, a mass ratio different from 1 provides a second small parameter, which can lead to unexpected results. We present a statistics of supermassive black hole candidates, which enables us first to derive their mass distribution, then to establish a logarithmically even probability of the mass ratios at their encounter. In the mass ratio range (1/30,1/3) of supermassive black hole mergers representing 40% of all possible cases, the combined effect of spin-orbit precession and gravitational radiation leads to a spin-flip of the dominant spin during the inspiral phase of the merger. This provides a mechanism for explaining a large set of observations on X-shaped radio galaxies. In another 40%, with mass ratios (1/30,1/1000) a spin-flip never occurs, while in the remaining 20% of mergers with mass ratios (1/3,1) it may occur during the plunge.…
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