Common Radial Velocity vs. Rare Microlensing: Difficulties and Futures

TL;DR

This paper evaluates the success factors of Microlensing and Radial Velocity methods in exoplanet detection, highlighting the need to redefine success criteria and proposing future strategic directions based on expert insights.

Contribution

It introduces a semi-Delphi process to identify key success factors and suggests four future strategies for exoplanet detection methods.

Findings

Success criteria for exoplanet detection methods need revision.

Expert views differ between general and special experts.

Four strategic directions proposed for future exoplanet detection.

Abstract

In this paper, effective factors for success of Microlensing and Radial Velocity methods were choose. A semi-Delphi process applied on the factors to evaluating them and finding the most important factors for present situation of ML and RV, with help from about 100 experts, in or related exoplanets detection. I found the public definition on "success of exoplanets detection methods" is not correct and we should change it, as some experts did it, in the form of fundamental questions in planetary science. Also, the views of "Special Experts" are different from other experts that help us to choose the right way in evaluating. The next step was choosing the best strategy for future and finally, from SWOT landscape and with a new objective of ML method (New Game Board Strategy) I suggested four critical future strategies for completing current strategic directions.