Final spins from the merger of precessing binary black holes
Michael Kesden, Ulrich Sperhake, Emanuele Berti

TL;DR
This paper investigates how post-Newtonian evolution influences the spin orientations of binary black holes before merger, revealing that spin precession can significantly alter initial alignments and affect the final spin predictions.
Contribution
It demonstrates the impact of post-Newtonian spin precession on the distribution of black hole spins at merger, highlighting limitations in predicting final spins from widely separated binaries.
Findings
Isotropic initial spin distributions remain isotropic at smaller separations.
Partially aligned spins can be significantly distorted during inspiral.
Precession can induce measurable limits on final spin prediction accuracy.
Abstract
The inspiral of binary black holes is governed by gravitational radiation reaction at binary separations r < 1000 M, yet it is too computationally expensive to begin numerical-relativity simulations with initial separations r > 10 M. Fortunately, binary evolution between these separations is well described by post-Newtonian equations of motion. We examine how this post-Newtonian evolution affects the distribution of spin orientations at separations r ~ 10 M where numerical-relativity simulations typically begin. Although isotropic spin distributions at r ~ 1000 M remain isotropic at r ~ 10 M, distributions that are initially partially aligned with the orbital angular momentum can be significantly distorted during the post-Newtonian inspiral. Spin precession tends to align (anti-align) the binary black hole spins with each other if the spin of the more massive black hole is initially…
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